Publications

(2022). Improving the Measurement of ``Big Five'' Personality Traits in a Brief Survey Instrument. European Journal of Psychological Assessment.

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(2021). Politically Invisible in America. PS: Political Science & Politics.

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(2021). Optimal Response Formats for Online Surveys: Branch, Grid, or Single Item?. Journal of Survey Statistics and Methodology.

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(2020). National Polling and Other Disasters. Morrison’s Miracle: The 2019 Australian Federal Election.

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(2019). Why Does the American National Election Study Overestimate Voter Turnout?. Political Analysis.

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(2019). Economic and Cultural Drivers of Immigrant Support Worldwide. British Journal of Political Science.

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(2018). An Audit of Political Behavior Research. SAGE Open.

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(2018). The Campaign That Wasn't: Tracking Public Opinion over the 44th Parliament and the 2016 Election Campaign. Double Disillusion: The 2016 Australian Federal Election.

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(2016). Polarization in Less than Thirty Seconds: Continuous Monitoring of Voter Response to Campaign Advertising. Political Communication in Real Time: Theoretical and Applied Research Approaches.

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(2015). All That Glitters: Betting Markets and the 2013 Australian Federal Election. Abbott’s Gambit : The 2013 Australian Federal Election.

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(2014). A Generational Model of Political Learning. Electoral Studies.

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(2013). Do Attitudes about Immigration Predict Willingness to Admit Individual Immigrants?: A Cross-National Test of the Person-Positivity Bias. Public Opinion Quarterly.

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(2011). Cosmopolitanism. Facing the Challenge of Democracy.

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(2010). Primary Politics: Race, Gender, and Age in the 2008 Democratic Primary. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties.

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(2010). Bayesian Analysis. Encyclopedia of Political Science..

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(2009). To Simulate or NOMINATE?. Legislative Studies Quarterly.

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(2008). Measurement. The Oxford Handbook of Political Methodology.

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(2008). Regression Models for Count Data in R. Journal of Statistical Software.

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(2008). Measuring District-Level Partisanship with Implications for the Analysis of U.S. Elections. The Journal of Politics.

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(2008). Democracy as a Latent Variable. American Journal of Political Science.

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(2006). The Limits of Deliberative Discussion: A Model of Everyday Political Arguments. The Journal of Politics.

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(2005). Pooling the Polls over an Election Campaign. Australian Journal of Political Science.

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(2005). Incumbency Advantage. Mortgage Nation: The 2004 Australian Election..

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(2004). BAYESIAN ANALYSIS FOR POLITICAL RESEARCH. Annual Review of Political Science.

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(2004). The Statistical Analysis of Roll Call Data. American Political Science Review.

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(2004). ``The Most Liberal Senator''? Analyzing and Interpreting Congressional Roll Calls. PS: Political Science & Politics.

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(2003). Voter Decision Making in Election 2000: Campaign Effects, Partisan Activation, and the Clinton Legacy. American Journal of Political Science.

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(2003). Political Parties and Electoral Behaviour. The Cambridge Handbook of the Social Sciences in Australia.

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(2003). Generalized Least Squares. SAGE Encyclopedia of Social Science Research Methods.

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(2003). Generalized Additive Models. SAGE Encyclopedia of Social Science Research Methods.

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(2003). Bayes' Theorem, Bayes' Rule. SAGE Encyclopedia of Social Science Research Methods.

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(2003). Bayes Factor. SAGE Encyclopedia of Social Science Research Methods.

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(2002). Pluralistic Intolerance, Political Culture and Democratic Theory. La Démocratie à l’ṕreuve : Une Nouvelle Approche de l’opinion Des Français.

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(2002). Democratic Discussion: The Role of Reasons and Political Sophistication in Political Argument. La Démocratie à l’ṕreuve : Une Nouvelle Approche de l’opinion Des Français.

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(2001). Voting: Compulsory. International Encyclopedia of the Social & Behavioral Sciences.

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(1998). Beyond Linearity by Default: Generalized Additive Models. American Journal of Political Science.

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(1997). Liberalism, Public Opinion, and Their Critics: Some Lessons for Defending Science. The Flight from Science and Reason.

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(1995). Some More of All That: A Reply to Charnock. Australian Journal of Political Science.

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(1994). Forecasting Australian Elections: 1993, and All That. Australian Journal of Political Science.

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(1994). Measuring Electoral Bias: Australia, 1949– 93. British Journal of Political Science.

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(1994). Bayesian Inference for Comparative Research. American Political Science Review.

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(1992). Split Parties Finish Last: Preferences, Pluralities and the 1957 Queensland Election. Australian Journal of Political Science.

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(1991). Electoral Redistricting and Endogenous Partisan Control. Political Analysis.

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(1991). Candidacies and Competitiveness in Multimember Districts. Legislative Studies Quarterly.

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(1991). Bias and Responsiveness in State Legislative Districting. Legislative Studies Quarterly.

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